Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 85834.646930 90572.235583 95306.795336 100390.020318 105689.717134 111048.806294 116874.146666
2025-01-19 77588.387645 84812.651987 92233.544922 100415.757726 109173.687383 118256.158776 128376.591632
2025-01-26 73066.710763 82104.114497 91587.860014 102260.412441 113914.282151 126231.340046 140211.269228
2025-02-02 69650.651172 80092.139330 91245.733105 104010.731730 118178.774171 133384.938271 150901.623518
2025-02-09 66290.286660 77802.755234 90294.710180 104803.959093 121138.032104 138902.963298 159628.817823
2025-02-16 62851.475118 75167.010928 88723.682947 104682.407092 122880.059286 142908.942523 166542.635830
2025-02-23 60251.332372 73304.582182 87862.202448 105208.398564 125217.262733 147475.130669 174005.020474
2025-03-02 57677.731045 71322.080193 86727.485976 105293.856103 126941.382770 151260.896582 180519.131278
2025-03-09 56065.443803 70363.813530 86689.638220 106568.962743 129972.605189 156498.638075 188677.707298
2025-03-16 53595.756003 68274.429674 85223.884506 106075.675620 130861.014855 159199.773533 193860.154044
2025-03-23 52468.134070 67731.556303 85533.058762 107632.887639 134124.642171 164647.500883 202246.754594
2025-03-30 51171.344218 66919.354564 85465.388884 108693.092133 136764.902945 169347.461693 209759.530301
2025-04-06 49386.770334 65472.232144 84609.791670 108799.714686 138283.475985 172767.144736 215840.441294
2025-04-13 47571.497792 63925.535983 83580.089669 108649.708126 139461.238509 175767.941384 221431.796660
2025-04-20 46909.407735 63791.051676 84260.190547 110576.368609 143155.210762 181793.767725 230680.599266
2025-04-27 46263.615278 63643.208803 84897.347007 112431.935330 146757.030628 187719.544722 239841.838083
2025-05-04 45181.587163 62893.988432 84745.532152 113274.689226 149091.440387 192102.578865 247145.894538
2025-05-11 43711.248753 61592.594480 83851.761111 113144.873155 150186.197769 194951.876812 252573.922227
2025-05-18 42632.213373 60764.104540 83526.360194 113704.800513 152122.169053 198826.036586 259266.785995
2025-05-25 41402.442239 59696.651173 82858.363505 113795.763726 153443.708968 201928.040111 265008.626774
2025-06-01 40781.530442 59415.586710 83187.982445 115153.189489 156363.522669 207022.853798 273245.946218
2025-06-08 39395.986931 58066.428200 82088.141701 114628.077251 156857.168105 209069.301623 277678.611871
2025-06-15 38976.661136 58009.460461 82671.717775 116285.653007 160148.427209 214640.419274 286554.503371